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Author Topic: Realpolitik in Europe.  (Read 4930 times)

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selber

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Re: Realpolitik in Europe.
« Reply #135 on: January 22, 2018, 23:24 »
@coffejohn
The assessments of Sir Nick Carter in all honors, but I have the suspicion that he seeks the confrontation. Oil is Russia's most important export commodity. An embargo on Russian oil exports combined with other restraining measures against Russia could put the Russians back to the wall. Then they would be even more dangerous! By the way, new Russian methods that he describes  as well are American methods. And the Americans can do it better.

coffejohn

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Re: Realpolitik in Europe.
« Reply #136 on: January 22, 2018, 23:43 »
@coffejohn
The assessments of Sir Nick Carter in all honors, but I have the suspicion that he seeks the confrontation. Oil is Russia's most important export commodity. An embargo on Russian oil exports combined with other restraining measures against Russia could put the Russians back to the wall. Then they would be even more dangerous! By the way, new Russian methods that he describes  as well are American methods. And the Americans can do it better.

It is his job to foresee confrontation but he is not a political figure, indeed the UK government will not welcome his assessment. He is not suggesting an embargo on Russia but makes the point, not reported in the article, that they respect strength and will take advantage of weakness.

As for the USA under Trump I entirely agree with you; I would go further and suggest that his vice president is even more dangerous.

It`s worth bringing this issue back to Brexit as a Europe with the UK detached from the EU and the EU itself in some disarray plays into the Russian hands without them lifting a finger.

 

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selber

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Re: Realpolitik in Europe.
« Reply #137 on: January 23, 2018, 00:01 »
@coffejohn
Okay, respecting strength and exploiting weakness does everyone, without admitting it. The thing is reminiscent of the GDR and the FRG. Strauss, little known but important, said in the eighties - we have to make the GDR addicted to DM. I think he was right. The more important the FRG was for the GDR, the greater was its influence. This is the way . Russians must benefit from the West so that they can not do without the West, and then the West has power.

coffejohn

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Re: Realpolitik in Europe.
« Reply #138 on: January 23, 2018, 00:15 »
@coffejohn
Okay, respecting strength and exploiting weakness does everyone, without admitting it. The thing is reminiscent of the GDR and the FRG. Strauss, little known but important, said in the eighties - we have to make the GDR addicted to DM. I think he was right. The more important the FRG was for the GDR, the greater was its influence. This is the way . Russians must benefit from the West so that they can not do without the West, and then the West has power.

Yes But;
1- Over time the Russian control of natural resources that the west, in practice the EU, need gives them the power over us.

2- You may recall that some time ago Atlantis, also German, made the point that US attitudes to Russia would drive them into the arms of China; broadly in line with your argument. This is now a real possibility after Crimea and needs to be taken into account, not only in diplomatic terms but militarily.

We could probably agree that a carrot and stick is the best way to deal with Russia?
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selber

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Re: Realpolitik in Europe.
« Reply #139 on: January 23, 2018, 00:35 »


We could probably agree that a carrot and stick is the best way to deal with Russia?
Yes .
Yes But;
1- Over time the Russian control of natural resources that the west, in practice the EU, need gives them the power over us.

As long as Russians need our money more than we need their resources, not.But on the fact that Russians have what we need we can not change anything.

coffejohn

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Re: Realpolitik in Europe.
« Reply #140 on: February 19, 2018, 22:06 »
Germany’s political identity crisis

A major shift is taking place in Berlin. Parties across the spectrum will have to reinvent to survive.

From; https://www.politico.eu/article/germany-coalition-deal-cdu-spd-political-identity-crisis-angela-merkel-martin-schulz/

Quote
Merkel’s succession won’t be just a technicality. It will determine the CDU’s political direction and identity.

Quote
The Social Democrats — whose astonishing self-destruction in recent weeks took the country by surprise — are fighting this battle early and under extreme public pressure. At its core, the SPD is wrestling with what kind of party it wants to be.

But its woes are only a harbinger of what’s to come. The SPD’s political competitors face similar questions over the coming years and will need to reinvent themselves to remain relevant. It’s a process of internal change that could have serious consequences for Germany’s European and global engagement.


It`s easy to see Merkel as a German version of Margaret Thatcher, without the handbag. Because Thatcher dominated the UK`s political scene it was inevitable that replacing her would be troublesome; the same can be said for Merkel with the added difficulty for Germany being the lack of an opposition party leader to take it in a new direction.

Coalition can be a means of stabilizing a multi party state but when an acceptable leader is absent it becomes a path to sterility; just what the EU needs in an increasingly chaotic world.
 
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